Don’t Fret About January Effect

Weekly Market Commentary 2-2-15

The stock market declined in January 2015, causing some to ask whether the so-called January effect (or what some call the January barometer) means that stocks will fall this year. One of the best known Wall Street adages, “as January goes, so goes the year,” has a good track record when January is positive, but it is mixed otherwise. Although we always put fundamentals first in trying to forecast market direction, in this commentary we look at January market patterns and posit that the January dip may not be a reason to fret about the stock market in 2015.

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