Europe and Japan Coming Up Short
Earnings overseas have generally not kept up with the U.S. We spend a lot of time dissecting earnings season in the U.S. because we believe earnings are the single biggest driver of stock prices over the long run. But earnings are not just important for U.S. stocks, they are also important for stocks overseas. This week we provide an earnings update in Europe and Japan, where results thus far have mostly fallen short of those in the U.S. While we continue to focus our equity allocations in the U.S., we still recommend modest developed international equity exposure for suitable investors, despite third quarter 2015 earnings shortfalls overseas. Prospects for international earnings to improve over the rest of 2015 and into 2016, and for additional monetary stimulus, are supportive.